Sleep deprivation: the decision killer
Harrison and Horne’s 2000 review in Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied synthesized decades of research on how sleep loss affects complex decisions. The findings are stark: sleep deprivation doesn’t just make you tired. It specifically impairs the prefrontal cortex—the brain region responsible for planning, impulse control, and weighing consequences.
At 2am, even if you’ve had no alcohol, you’re likely operating on reduced sleep. Most late-night diners are already running a sleep deficit before the night even started. Add a few hours past your normal bedtime, and you’re making financial decisions with a compromised brain.
24hrswithout sleep equals 0.10% BAC cognitively
40%decline in innovative thinking
3.6xmore likely to make risky financial choices
30%drop in attention to detail
Killgore’s 2008 research extended this to emotional and social judgment. Sleep-deprived participants showed reduced ability to accurately assess their own decision-making. They didn’t just make worse choices—they thought they were making good ones.
“Sleep deprivation is associated with a peculiar pattern of preserved confidence despite objectively impaired performance.”
— Killgore et al., Sleep Medicine, 2008
This confidence-competence gap is what makes late-night IOUs so treacherous. Your friend isn’t lying when they say they’ll pay you. They genuinely believe it. They just can’t see how impaired their follow-through capacity actually is.
Sources: Harrison & Horne, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 2000; Killgore et al., Sleep Medicine, 2008